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https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/9wmwfg/alicorn_is_mostly_known_for_being_responsible_for/e9o1ch4/

I am a very sincere sneerer and I wrote a very long hypothetical scenario that shows that eugenics are ok

(seriously, look at this genius’ tactics. They think, oh, I want eugenics to be ok. And I know the left will say it’s ok if lgbt ppl want to do a thing, right? So I’ll invent this huge fucking hypothetical that draws attention to the idea that lesbians will be overrepresented in wanting to use eugenics. And I’m not even claiming that lesbians are more likely, because it’s just a little hypothetical! Be more charitable! And then y’all will be forced to conclude that eugenics are ok in this hypothetical scenario! But holy fuck, just look at how the initial desire to prove eugenics are ok traces through their whole fucking argument and causes them to write this whole long thing–it’s like a microcosm of one of scott’s posts.)

Full text if you really want it:

_ _ _

Man, I do not get where you folks are coming from, acting like Alicorn’s argument here is self-evidently evil. Is it principled opposition to genetic screening for anything that wouldn’t, under optimal social conditions, severely reduce the potential infant’s quality of life? Or is it about the marginalized status of the people with the traits most likely to be screened out?

Like, here’s a thought experiment: Imagine a counterfactual universe in which lesbianism is highly correlated with both a strong desire to have many, many children, and a strong preference for children who are themselves female and lesbian. Nevertheless, due to a lack of sufficiently advanced reproductive medicine, and a history of intolerance of sexual minorities much like actual history, the lesbian population of Parallel Earth circa 2018 is no larger or less marginalized than here on regular Earth.

But then, all of a sudden, technology is developed which allows prospective lesbian mothers to ensure that their children are also lesbians, by means of pre-implantation embryo screening or selective abortion, and most take advantage of it. (And let’s assume that eventually a means of reproducing without the need for sperm donors is also invented.) Meanwhile, straight people’s birth rate is dipping below the replacement rate, for the same reasons as in our universe (whatever they may be), and no policy intervention can stop the decline, or even slow it down. The implications are obvious to everyone: men and non-lesbian women are headed for extinction; the future belongs to lesbians.

As a straight dude, my attitude about this would be, So what? No doubt some people would be wringing their hands about it, in the manner of people who fret about “white genocide,” but IMO that wouldn’t give them the right to deny Parallel-Earth!lesbians access to genetic screening and abortion services. If the Parallel-Earth!straights want to go on existing, they ought to assume the burden of their own reproduction, not foist it on unwilling lesbians. Likewise, I think people who want trans, gay, autistic, deaf, etc. people to go on existing should just go ahead and make trans, gay, autistic, deaf, etc. babies themselves. Hell, if they want to abort a fetus because a genetic test indicates it’s not one of those things, I’d be fine with that too.

Would the people who disagree with me about that also oppose gender-and-sexual-orientation selection on Parallel Earth? Would you be okay with it at first, but start opposing it if things got to a point where non-lesbians became a politically and socially marginalized minority? Why?

Ah yes, the old “but if you swap x for y and strip the scenario of all context then it’s clear that YOU’RE the racist” manuever. This is a decidedly large portion of SSC-derived posts.

Tbqh I’m a lesbian and I definitely only see myself having a daughter (I don’t care about her sexual orientation though because that’s fucking creepy) and I support selecting traits in an embryo to a limited degree, but still, this doesn’t speak for me, and it’s really telling that he chose lesbians for his weird-ass eugenics parable.

Also >men and non-lesbian women are headed for extinction; the future belongs to lesbians.

wow i love eugenics now

> weird ass-eugenics *** ^(Bleep-bloop, I'm a bot. This comment was inspired by )^[xkcd#37](https://xkcd.com/37)
If I did not like big butts, would I tell the truth
sounds good to me!

Rationalism is hypothetical-worship in the same way liberalism is civility-worship.

I am a very sincere sneerer and I wrote a very long hypothetical scenario that shows that eugenics are ok

I have never pretended to be a sincere sneerer. I hardly post anything in this sub except dissenting opinions. If anyone got the wrong impression, maybe it’s because I also try to be civil and acknowledge points of agreement where they exist. Anyway, if the mods want to ban me for “““concern trolling”“” that’s their prerogative, but in the meantime I’m gonna argue with people when the spirit moves me.

(seriously, look at this genius’ tactics. They think, oh, I want eugenics to be ok. And I know the left will say it’s ok if lgbt ppl want to do a thing, right?

No, I didn’t “know” that, which is why I asked the question. You are seriously misreading my motives. I’m not doing this to try and trick people into assenting to my secret plan to breed a master race, or paint them into a rhetorical corner so I can “win” an inconsequential internet argument. I’m trying to understand why we have different moral intuitions, because that is a question I’m genuinely curious about, and I’m trying to convey a more accurate impression of why I believe what I believe, because I find it unpleasant to see people asserting that positions I agree with, such as Alicorn’s essay, could only result from a desire to genocide trans people, or similar fascist motives. I read her essay before I read any of the comments here, and I honestly did not anticipate that it would be met with such intense condemnation. In order to better understand why, I used a hypothetical to try and clarify the distinction between the first two plausible motives for opposing opinions that I could think of, namely:

  1. “It’s wrong to modify or discard a human embryo, if that embryo would otherwise grow up to become a human who would probably be grateful that they weren’t modified in that way or discarded.”

  2. “It’s wrong to modify or discard a human embryo, if the motive for doing so is a genetic test that indicates that the embryo has a high probability of developing into a person with a marginalized trait (e.g. trans, gay, disabled), because that is a bad motive which reflects an immoral prejudice.”

Now, I don’t 100% disagree with (A); I think it would be wrong to genetically modify an embryo to give it, say, a chronic pain disorder, because people generally don’t look back on their lives and say “Man, I wish I had more chronic pain.” But nobody is proposing to use technology to do that anyway. OTOH, fully embracing (A) pretty much entails being anti-abortion, and I strongly disagree with that position. I can see how a pro-choice person could still be drawing upon (A), to some extent, in justifying their anti-eugenics stance, if they’re the sort of pro-choice person who thinks abortion is a terribly tragic thing that should only be tolerated because it’s the lesser evil, but that’s not how I see abortion. I think it’s wrong to kill people because that would violate their preference to not be killed, and if a pro-lifer were to object that this principle doesn’t rule out euthanizing an unwanted baby in a way that causes the baby to feel no pain or fear, because newborn infants probably don’t experience a conscious preference to not be killed in the same sense that older humans do, I would reply that I agree that euthanizing newborns is wrong, because they are cute and helpless, and, amazingly, despite my status as an emotionally stunted Rationalist galaxy brain, I partake of the normal human instinct to want to nurture cute helpless people and not euthanize them. But embryos and fetuses, until fairly well along in a pregnancy, aren’t particularly cute, and it is even less likely that they experience a conscious preference to not be killed, so I don’t see enough of a basis to regard them as moral patients with independent rights that could ever override their mothers’ preference to abort them.

I think (B) is a much more defensible position, so I was curious how people would react to a hypothetical in which it didn’t apply. Anyway, there’s a sense in which I endorse (B), but, as I’ve indicated, I still don’t consider it a sufficiently compelling reason to outlaw prenatal screening for any particular trait. But there are two independent spectra of nuance that I want to be mindful of, since this is such a controversial topic:

One is the nature of the trait being screened for. I assume most people who aren’t strongly anti-abortion are okay with screening for really bad diseases that only cause suffering and premature death, but if you want to ban other kinds of prenatal screening, you have to figure out where you draw the line between awful diseases that no one would want, and all other traits that could be screened for. If you adopt the attitude that anyone who would even contemplate drawing that boundary less restrictively than you is a NAZI GENOCIDE MONSTER, well, I don’t think that’s a good-faith, intellectually honest way to approach the question, frankly.

The other spectrum of nuance concerns the practical implications of saying that some behavior is morally wrong. Does that mean the behavior should be outlawed under penalty of fine or imprisonment? Not necessarily (although rhetorically analogizing a behavior to Nazi crimes against humanity certainly suggests where you stand on that question). I wouldn’t want to choose my children’s sexual orientation, for example, if I were a prospective parent, and if I were a medical practitioner, I’d like to think I would decline to offer sexual-orientation screening as a service, even in the face of strong market demand for it. I also want society to stop marginalizing sexual minorities, in which case no such demand would exist, presumably. But I’m not sure I would endorse legal penalties to restrict prenatal sexual-orientation screening. Restricting what other people are allowed to do requires justification, which usually involves identifying some moral patient who would be harmed by the behavior. As I said, I don’t consider embryos or fetuses who hypothetically could be born, but won’t be, to be moral patients in the required sense. And anyone who does needs to explain how they reconcile that with being pro-choice, if they are pro-choice. There is, of course, a different set of moral patients who would be harmed by sexual-orientation-selective abortion, namely third parties who find the practice abhorrent. But to me, “I am deeply offended by your choice to use reproductive medical technology in a way that invalidates my identity” just isn’t a compelling enough argument, on it’s own, to legitimize restrictions on what other people can do with their reproductive organs. There are systemic problems that could arise from such technologies, as Alicorn acknowledged in her post, but that’s a whole other ball of wax, and I don’t recall anyone appealing to such possibilities in their arguments in the SneerClub thread.

Dude, you're thinking about this all wrong. Sneering is usually not about the subject matter (the "object level") - it is in most cases a read-between-the-lines: an argument about *what type of person would say something like this*. By doubling down on the original logical argument, you're sticking to a 2d chess board when everyone else is playing 3d chess. The main criticism, at least from my perspective, is not about whether parents should or should not be allowed to select/modify their children genetically (in fact, maybe they should be). The main criticism is that *posting about this as if it's a relevant, important fact about the world, and calling it "eugenics" while explaining you are for it, betrays a certain outlook on the world which is both ridiculous and contemptible*. Why? Here are some reasons: 1. You're not gonna be able to genetically modify babies for a long, long time. Yes, I know about CRISPR/Cas9. No, it does not allow you to perform arbitrary genetic mutations; it can handle only a handful of genes at once, whereas traits you care about are mostly highly polygenic (and the rest are purely environmental). 2. Jumping to genetics is a weird way to look at the world. Why aren't we asking whether it will be moral to surgically attach a cybernetic memory enhancement to an infant? Why is it always genetics? 3. The particular fantasy scenario here is also potentially revealing: OP was fantasizing about eliminating the possibility of transgender children rather than the possibility of children with a stutter. What does this say about OP? 4. The word "eugenics" already has a meaning. It refers to improving the human race by controlling the breeding of others; it does not refer to selecting your own children to match your desires (sex-selective abortions in India aren't usually labeled "eugenics"). The word is also contaminated with Nazi associations, as a brief Google search would tell you. That the OP chose to use the word implies either that she (a) agrees with some actual eugenics, not just parenting choices, or (b) does not care about the history of the word. Both these choices seem fairly offensive and bigoted; again, "eugenics" brings to mind "sterilizing the poor".
>You're not gonna be able to genetically modify babies for a long, long time. Yes, I know about CRISPR/Cas9. I think most reasonable people agree on this. However, selecting between multiple viable embryos is a different matter entirely. The service is already available for genetic defects, and in principle you could do something similar for a polygenic trait like IQ (I think the current state of the art GCTA can explain something like 30% of the variation in IQ) or height. It's yet unclear how viable this is ([this](https://genomicprediction.com/epgt/) company seems to offer evaluations of polygenic disorder risk), but needless to say, this raises some serious moral issues. >The word "eugenics" already has a meaning. The comparison between eugenics/genocide and voluntary embryo selection isn't just made by right-wing weirdos, it's also a criticism levied by opponents of those technologies and their applications. See the following popular twitter thread for one example: https://twitter.com/ztsamudzi/status/1062032877993451521?s=21
Embryo selection is also a pipe dream. Not in the sense that it is not practical - it is practical - but in the sense that you'd get nothing out of it. Even gwern admits it is not recommended to do IVF just for embryo selection, and only does a cost-benefit analysis for embryo selection *assuming you're already doing IVF for other reasons*. IVF itself risks complications for mother and baby, and without it you've got nothing to select on. But suppose you do IVF anyway. You inject yourself daily for 2 weeks, causing your ovaries to swell from the size of grapes to grapefruits, bulging noticeably out of your abdomen (if you are thin), then go to a doctor who inserts a needle through the vagina... to extract about 20 eggs. At most half will successfully turn into embryos, of which at most half will be not-obviously-defective. You're left with 4 embryos. They may still be lower quality than non-IVF embryos. Then assuming an optimistic-case genetic test (not currently possible) which explains 50% of the variance of your desired trait, you'd raise your trait by the equivalent of between 1-in-2 and 1-in-3 out of your kids (that is, if you have 1 embryo-selected child and 3 non-selected natural children, the embryo selected one will score a bit worse than the best non-selected child as far as your desired trait goes). It's not nothing, I guess, but it's not revolutionary either. And if you assume the 4 embryos you selected from are worse than natural-fertilization embryos, these gains can easily disappear completely.
I agree it's not revolutionary, but it's plausibly impactful enough to raise morally important questions. As for gwern's cost-benefit analysis, I don't endorse his view of the issue but I believe he quite explicitly expects the calculus to change rapidly in the near future. >to extract about 20 eggs. At most half will successfully turn into embryos, of which at most half will be not-obviously-defective. You're left with 4 embryos. Source on this particular estimate, though?
The entire analysis is assuming you're doing IVF for other reasons. Gwern does not analyze the cost-benefit of doing IVF (implicitly assuming it's not going to be worth it, or that lower-quality embryos will overwhelm potential gains).
I'm not sure we disagree on all that much here, the main thing I wanted to point out was people on the left comparing the use of such technologies to eugenics or genocide, since you criticized the OP for doing the same thing.
Fine, fair enough, but the twitter thread you showed started with a pro-parental-modification paper that used the term "eugenics," and only after that term was introduced did people talk of eugenics or genocide. So that paper is guilty of exactly what I accused OP of doing: introducing the word "eugenics" in a place where it did not belong, and then acting surprised when people compare you to Nazis. Look, all those people on twitter DID NOT READ THE PAPER. They read the title. The title is "defending eugenics". They reasonably assumed the paper is defending eugenics. "Eugenics" means sterilizing poor people or some equivalent. That's just what the word connotes. If you don't want Nazi comparisons, don't pick a deliberately-edgy term to describe something simple like greater parental choice of offspring traits. I assign "people on the left" roughly zero blame for this twitter thread and I assign the author roughly 100% of the blame. Honestly, since I didn't read the paper myself, I'm not even sure that the author *doesn't* advocate for sterilization of the poor. It's just what the term eugenics usually means; putting that in the *title* is really weird if that's not what you're using it for.
Touché. Maybe the thread was a particularly bad example, the salient point is that it's a stance some people legitimately have (notably, some disability advocacy groups). Even in the linked thread, the following tweet is indicative of the OP having that view: >Eugenics really isn’t as much of a strictly conservative or far-right practice and ideology as people believe. Iceland is pretty liberal, yet rates of Down syndrome are low because most women who received positive tests during prenatal screenings terminated pregnancies. **Side Note** >I assign "people on the left" I consider myself "on the left", as a liberal, so I wasn't using the phrase in the way a SSC user might.
Fair enough, I suppose I *have* seen people who oppose aborting fetuses with Down syndrome accuse women who do so of eugenics. I think it is meant as a smear, though, and I do not advise owning that smear. By the way, I speak as a soon-to-be parent who did a prenatal test for Down.
> and I do not advise owning that smear. I'll admit you have shifted my view on the politics of the issue and the strategic implications. I've never thought that embryo selection was equivalent to eugenics, but I don't think I'm quite as willing to bite the bullet and reply something like "and if it *technically* is?" to claims that it is anymore. It might be good to spread that message to quite a few people in bioethics and genetics...
>I didn't read the paper myself Well, [I gave it a cursory skim](https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6096849/). Here's the first sentence of the intro: >The title of this essay is deliberately provocative. So yeah ... that's on him. I didn't spot any advocacy of coercive sterilization in the paper, but he hits all the right notes for SneerClub types to have a field day tearing it apart anyway. I remember thinking it was a little odd that Alicorn chose to frame her post as being about "eugenics," rather than trying to distance herself from that specific term, since I have previously tended to view the application of it to things not obviously equivalent to the actual historical practice of eugenics as a smear tactic from people like @ztsamudzi. But maybe you're right and it isn't, in which case, I can't blame people for reading sinister intentions into it. I'm still inclined to give Alicorn the benefit of the doubt, but then again, I don't have much reason to feel personally threatened by eugenics talk, and "When should one give someone the benefit of the doubt?" is a subject area where I'm more sympathetic than usual to standpoint theory.
Dude, stop trying so hard. The point is that we've seen rationalists harass trans people before, so we're going to give rationalists shit about it. Does it really matter to me if my criticism gets directed at a rationalist who was neutral towards trans people, or one who was more aggressive? No, because yelling at all of you prevents you from hiding behind your words and then harassing people when nobody's watching. Change your behavior, not how you present it (your words).
Shut up, transphobe.
(did I say something transphobic somewhere?)
>Dude, stop trying so hard. NEVER! ✊ >The point is that we've seen rationalists harass trans people before, so we're going to give rationalists shit about it. Does it really matter to me if my criticism gets directed at a rationalist who was neutral towards trans people, or one who was more aggressive? No, because yelling at all of you prevents you from hiding behind your words and then harassing people when nobody's watching. Everybody wants to be recognized as a unique individual; nobody wants to stop rounding other people to the nearest stereotype. Fine. That's human nature, I guess. Sometimes it leads to genocide and shit, but stereotyping Rationalists as transphobes, fascists, or whatever clearly isn't one of those times, so please don't accuse me of trying to draw that particular false equivalence. But please do notice what you are openly arguing in favor of, here: accusing people who fit a particular stereotype of having sinister motives, whether or not they actually do. Notice how it makes you feel when other people do that to you, because you fit some stereotype. Notice what happens when people are incentivized to do that, and what happens differently on the rare occasions when people manage to refrain from doing that to each other for five god-forsaken minutes.
Oh fuck, you actually believe this shit
Here's a third plausible motive for critiquing Alicorn's essays. This paragraph is fucking bonkers: >Mercy is more comfortable. Mercy has a better relationship with her parents (it would barely be a stretch to say that Mercy *has better parents*). Mercy requires less medical attention. This is all totally predictable from the moment Mrs. Long has her prenatal testing done and looks at the list of available tweaks. In a magical future-world, where death isn't a thing, simulations can gain consciousness, a major Christian sect is pro-trans, and perfect gene-editing is possible, Alicorn contends that a) transphobic parents are a real threat and b) medical intervention will be seriously deleterious to a child's wellbeing, and thus, it's better to replace them with a cis child. That reads like bad-faith fearmongering. Surely, in this magical robot paradise, there could be a pill that makes trans people's appearance conform with their experienced gender overnight? And their parents would be kind and understanding? No? Why not? Alicorn's message that Certain Lives Will Always Be Worse is patently ridiculous, once applied to marginalized conditions outside of those which leave you curled up in constant pain or slowly losing cognitive function or equally bad shit. Being Jewish or gay or black is not inherently awful, outside of oppressive structures. And the other thing is, Alicorn's essay is written in the present and advocating for present-day choices. We don't have trans-gene-deleting technology. (And there presumably isn't a single trans gene to delete.) So what's the logical conclusion here? How do we ensure that comfortable people who have good relationships and don't need a lot of care get made? Oh gee, maybe certain groups shouldn't reproduce. Y'know. The uncomfortable ones. I can hear the bits that Alicorn's trying to whisper.
TL;DR