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"You don’t need a special degree to understand what the data says and doesn’t say. Numbers are universal." (https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/fn0trw/you_dont_need_a_special_degree_to_understand_what/)
70

Title quote is from a controversial article being passed around by the techbro/”hysteria” crowd. Don’t read it; its errors have been explained elsewhere. I just wanted to draw your attention to the paragraph meant to convince you to trust the author’s analysis:

The following article is a systematic overview of COVID-19 driven by data from medical professionals and academic articles that will help you understand what is going on (sources include CDC, WHO, NIH, NHS, University of Oxford, John Hopkins, Stanford, Harvard, NEJM, JAMA, and several others). I’m quite experienced at understanding virality, how things grow, and data. In my vocation, I’m most known for popularizing the “growth hacking movement” in Silicon Valley that specializes in driving rapid and viral adoption of technology products. Data is data. Our focus here isn’t treatments but numbers. You don’t need a special degree to understand what the data says and doesn’t say. Numbers are universal.

Also, once Medium took it down, the author responded with: > I guess citations from CDC, John Hopkins, WHO, is too much for the thought police.

They targeted numbers. Numbers.

You don’t need a special degree to understand what the data says and doesn’t say.

LinkedIn’s Top Things Not to Say in a Job Interview.

I hope you walk away with a more informed perspective on how you can help and fight back against the hysteria that is driving our country into a dark place.

Let’s see those optimistic concluding remarks!

I’m an individual American who sees his community and loved ones being decimated without given a choice, without empathy, and while the media cheers on with high ratings.

When this is all over, look for massive confirmation bias and pyrrhic celebration by elites.

Our communities will be left with nothing but a shadow of the longest bull market in the history of our country.

:D

tfw when you write an article against hysteria but conclude with it, huh?

Also, a bull market is when stonks go up. I think that's literally the opposite of what he thinks he's saying.
By his reference to Main Street in the paragraph before it, I'm assuming he means Wall Street will have a recovery that won't benefit average Americans much. In other words, another post-recession recovery like the one that had been trend since 2010 after the 2008 Subprime mortgage crisis.
> You don’t need a special degree to understand what the data says and doesn’t say. cries in math degree
*experiences Statistics class ptsd*
With respect to pyrrhic celebration...to be honest I’m more looking forward to finger-pointing than anything else

I went into data science in the tech world and, honestly, most data scientists here aren’t. The culture around it is totally indifferent to subject matter expertise or theoretical validity. Its just correlation = causation fallacies across the board.

I came from a social science background and spent a lot of time considering the validity and generalizability of my data and constraints around what is and isn’t a valid conclusion to draw. They don’t. They’re like kids with matches. It’s all the worst elements of p-hacking and complete tunnel vision around consequences.

> Its just correlation = causation fallacies across the board. He doesn't even get this far. He misquotes the *figures* from his sources, contradicts himself throughout the article, and generally just seems to want to churn out as many anti-lockdown conclusions as possible. He has a conclusion in mind, and finds whatever data helps him show it. Data science!
If there's data in it, it's science right?
Yes. Also, doing science includes not addressing critiques, and if my scientific blog post is taken down, I will claim I am SILENCED and tag notable expert colleagues in virality such as ([checks notes](https://twitter.com/aginnt/status/1241566655546884096)) Steven Crowder. This is also science.
the most important part of Bayesian epistemology is constructing your prior to give the right answer
>The culture around it is totally indifferent to subject matter expertise or theoretical validity. Subject matter expertise will only indoctrinate you into the ossified dogmas of domain "knowledge." Free your mind from the shackles of "experts" and D I S R U P T

I’m quite experienced at understanding virality, how things grow, and data.

Even if this were true, I’m guessing it relies on the assumption that we actually know how many people are infected. New York cases have spiked in the last few days but the state is also testing people at a rate of 2-3x the rest of the US and has had drive-through testing centers opened since last week.

> im very experieced at growth This article certainly grew beyond all readability. Which is funny as throwing such massive amounts of data at panicking people will just make them panic more. Ow you have an irriational fear of spiders? Here let me give you 2 days of harmless spider facts.
I think they just opened this week, unless you are saying that, since it's sunday, this is a new week and if they opened a couple days ago, it's last week?
The latter but they've been open for 4 or 5 days now.
Actually, I googled and the New Rochele one opened a week ago today. So last week, by almost any measure. Have you been to the others?
Ah ok, the Staten Island one opened more recently. In any case, I'm not close to any.

If you take statistics the first thing the professor will say is, “It’s impossible to make a dataset say different things based on how you choose to analyze it. The numbers are just the numbers. Why the fuck does anyone bother to take this class again?”

John Hopkins

John Hopkins

[jon hopkins > john hopkins](https://youtu.be/eObo6i5X_Ds)

these guys.. they’re smart enough to read things (just, they’re like a kid with a new toy with a succession of new ideas

Dominic Cummings is another of this particular type of social-sciencey techbro-fanboys who have read Freakonomics etc. They use data but mainly seem to be motivated by thanatos

I’m quite experienced at understanding virality, how things grow, and data.

Are ye, aye?

” its errors have been explained elsewhere”. Where is that now? I was feeling good when I read this…

[Here](https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1241522140559503360) for example.
I was thinking of /u/beth-zerowidthspace 's link. Should be enough to update your high prior based on Ginn's expertise. /s Edit: see also /u/shitgenstein 's comment at the top of this post for more issues.