15-20% probability we could be life partners

15-20% probability we could be life partners (https://www.reddit.com/r/SneerClub/comments/owkzu3/1520_probability_we_could_be_life_partners/)

posted on August 02, 2021 06:46 PM by u/rats_suck

Source: https://twitter.com/Aella_Girl/status/1420879136302669826?s=20

Start of thread:

https://preview.redd.it/vnvvn3xdpze71.png?width=619&format=png&auto=webp&v=enabled&s=acae5c28eb810b22c185b4f2458d4d7d256ae2af

Ah yes, the linear model. Good enough to justify funneling millions of dollars to MIRI, and good enough for objectively quantifying viability of partners.

https://preview.redd.it/klefgnzbpze71.png?width=588&format=png&auto=webp&v=enabled&s=7c14667dfb1eb349d9a13da8021254a76d9cd115

u/DELETED 104 points at 1627932535.000000

[deleted]

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u/seanfish 19 points at 1627948770.000000

Hey I met my wife in an Aus/NZ librarian daily blogging challenge so yep this stupid nonsense that I myself took part in is a thing now.

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u/Shitgenstein 65 points at 1627939068.000000

And you may tell yourself, “This is not my beautiful statistical outlier”

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u/Heydammit 31 points at 1627947750.000000

*And you may find yourself in the shortest bin of a bar chart*

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u/derKruste 56 points at 1627935993.000000

Its really weird to me that Aella is a real person tbh

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u/Heydammit 31 points at 1627947203.000000

Who knew when she was posting comical gnome porn that she would turn into a sex worker advocating rationalism?

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u/sudosussudio 11 points at 1628010043.000000

Wasn’t she homeschooled? As someone who was also homeschooled, she definitely seems like a former homeschooler lol

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u/DELETED 9 points at 1628105808.000000

Yeah, and in a super super fundie christian (quaker? mormon? something like that) family. She's talked about having like, insane levels of trauma from her upbringing. I wonder sometimes if the rationalism thing is like, the pendulum swinging as far away from *that* as possible.

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u/lofrothepirate 10 points at 1628147345.000000

It isn’t really that far.

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u/caleb-garth 3 points at 1628263738.000000

I think the massive amounts of acid might have done more damage tbh.

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u/Heydammit 49 points at 1627931122.000000

This seems like such a miserable way to live your life and to try to find a partner. What are they even basing these percentages on?

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u/thetrombonist 39 points at 1627933518.000000

Bayes rule, duh /s

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u/sudosussudio 23 points at 1628010054.000000

Baes Rule

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u/CugelsHat 49 points at 1627936304.000000

Oh, so it's a *bad* idea to artificially inject stress into a romantic relationship by "intentionally and rapidly escalating" while at the same time openly discussing how it's unlikely to work?

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u/Soyweiser 14 points at 1627937205.000000

Of course you would say that [number 6.](https://youtu.be/a7LH__BPqSY)

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u/solastsummer 21 points at 1628009559.000000

Imagine not just dating 37% of your total estimated lifetime dating pool and then marrying the next partner that is better than all your previous partners. could not be me lmao 😆

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u/Soyweiser 21 points at 1627934850.000000

Bit weird, but hope it works out for them both.

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u/SaiyanPrinceAbubu 18 points at 1628005158.000000

If the potential partner is OK with her posting weird shit like this about their relationship on Twitter, I’d say they’re at least a 60% match.

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u/JimmyPWatts 2 points at 1628099337.000000

I’m gonna buy that to 70…no…75% !

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u/Accomplished_Crew521 16 points at 1628121299.000000

Why not use a prediction market instead?

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u/ShrhlderJsticeWrrior 4 points at 1628186495.000000

this is brilliant

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u/blakestaceyprime 13 points at 1627941530.000000

“Congratulations! Yours is the first relationship to get a negative score on the Pritchard scale.”

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u/snafuchs 12 points at 1627964729.000000

But where does it sit on the Bristol

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u/DELETED 15 points at 1627938467.000000

Being with someone based on how well they fit your strict set of criteria is kind of the opposite of love…

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u/DELETED 16 points at 1627989771.000000

[deleted]

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u/finfinfin 3 points at 1628188557.000000

I use a 3d pie chart!

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u/drcopus 16 points at 1627948453.000000

Meh this seems okay to me, just a bit eccentric. The numbers are clearly mostly nonsense, but maybe I can see how they help someone think through an emotional issue. It’s not so far from people who make pros/cons lists in relationships.

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u/rats_suck 12 points at 1627957860.000000

Sure, but the 15-20% figure is absurdly overly precise.

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u/slator_hardin 11 points at 1627988098.000000

I mean, those people are pretty sad too. But giving your pros and cons list a disguise of accuracy, precision and veridicy can only the normal problems created by overthinking worse

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