https://twitter.com/robinhanson/status/1436043557102567440
“we actually have enough data to say that aliens really are out there, and to roughly estimate where (some kinds) are, what they are doing, and when we will meet them.” His words, not mine.
At a quick glance it’s more of the same “misinterpreting the anthropic principle”.
The best thing about Hanson is he has no ego, the second best is the chip on his shoulder the size of a horse
This inspires confidence in the correctness of these results.
Clearly aliens exist. How else could we explain that we’re not seeing any aliens?
“Cool! You guys might consider minting this as an NFT and using the proceeds to fund future research.”
I’m not reading his paper, but I ctrl + F’d for “bayes” and was shocked to find that there were no results.
I love how hard he is trying to promote it. ‘call your journalists’ quote tweeting it at cstross and others. (check the quote tweets, the others are variants of ‘interesting, even if I don’t get it’ to ‘this is just like the science fiction movie big boss baby’)
It’s always fascinating to me how many people believe in aliens despite the zero evidence for their existence.
I don’t disbelieve in aliens, I just don’t believe in them either.
But so many people are so SURE that there MUST be aliens, based on… nothing, actually.
robin: aliens are real
also robin: the immortal science of marxism-leninism is wrong and I have never heard of posadas
the onion: the worst person you know just made a great point for entirely the wrong reasons
The mars mushrooms 🍄 completely ruin the math on this.