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Joined 6 months ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2025

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  • We will no doubt have some kind of AGI at some point, if we don’t extinct ourselves in the meantime. It’s not going to happen anytime soon, probably not within our lifetimes. And it’s not going to come from an LLM (Language ≠ Intelligence). My best bet is that one computer scientist will pioneer an actual piece of technology, in the same way neural networks were invented. The person who does it will probably be highly skilled in neuroscience and math, which I doubt anyone at OpenAI is. But again, if it ever could happen, it wouldn’t be now. Our computers and algorithms have largely remained the same for the past 20 years, they’ve just gotten cleverer and faster. I think the idea of a computer reasoning is cool, but I haven’t seen any of that from anyone. Just neat tricks.