@sue_me_pleasecake to SneerClubEnglish • edit-27 months agoYou may not like it, but this is what peak rationality looks likenitter.netmessage-square27arrow-up122arrow-down10file-text
arrow-up122arrow-down1external-linkYou may not like it, but this is what peak rationality looks likenitter.net@sue_me_pleasecake to SneerClubEnglish • edit-27 months agomessage-square27file-text
minus-square@swlabrlinkEnglish14•edit-27 months agoThere are some follow up tweets. To the commenters shocked that Zvi’s probability numbers don’t come from an “objective calculation”: Not shocked. At this point I am numb to it though. Approximating numerical probabilities is required if you want to make coherent decisions. Average bayesist when they need to pee: “Hmm, I suspect I need to pee. The decision I now must make is whether or not I should use my toilet or my sink.” half an hour of examining priors, searching LW for urination sequences and setting up a prediction market later “Hmm, it appears I have peed my pants.” Probability is subjective (a property of our belief-state) for us Bayesians. Oh my god, he admit it!
minus-square@sue_me_pleasecakeOPlinkEnglish6•7 months ago Approximating numerical probabilities is required if you want to make coherent decisions. I hate everything about this sentence within its context.
There are some follow up tweets.
Not shocked. At this point I am numb to it though.
Average bayesist when they need to pee:
“Hmm, I suspect I need to pee. The decision I now must make is whether or not I should use my toilet or my sink.”
half an hour of examining priors, searching LW for urination sequences and setting up a prediction market later
“Hmm, it appears I have peed my pants.”
Oh my god, he admit it!
I hate everything about this sentence within its context.