• Dookieman12@piefed.socialBanned
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    15 days ago

    My prediction:

    1. Investors continue to fuel demand, choking supply
    2. Plans to monetize LLMs don’t pan out
    3. Eventually, lenders call their margins
    4. Investors see the called margins and get spooked; demand fizzles
    5. AI companies desperately try to liquidate their positions. Seeing the price of components, there’s a rush to sell while prices are high.
    6. PC components flood the market
    7. Record high supply, record low prices
    8. PC gaming golden age
      • mlg@lemmy.world
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        15 days ago

        SXM to PCIe adapters already exist hehe

        Not to mention my dumbass would chuck money at a whole server just to throw it in my home lab.

      • eleitl@lemmy.zip
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        15 days ago

        I see no problem if I can snag some generic Instinct accelerators, and a server to go. I’ve already got half a rack full.

    • frongt@lemmy.zip
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      15 days ago

      Just like how GPUs became cheap and plentiful after mining crypto became passé, right?

    • Prox@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      6 will actually be “RAM suppliers buy the stock in bulk and sell as refurbs, keeping prices up”

    • MimicJar@lemmy.world
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      15 days ago

      So you’re not 100% incorrect, but does it happen in 2027? 2028?

      Logistically it’ll probably happen eventually, but when?

      • ParlimentOfDoom@piefed.zip
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        14 days ago

        OpenAI is likely to be the first domino to fall that causes the whole bubble to pop. They’re burning over $10-15 billion a year in losses, and have shown that any attempts to scale only increase that burn rate. They’re running out of investor money to toss into the fire.

        And they just announced a last ditch free unlimited for everyone plan to…I dunno drum up interest or hope it converts to paying customers or something. So their costs are about to skyrocket even more, accelerating their death spiral