Welcome to November, and welcome to the Stubsack, your first port of call for learning fresh Awful you’ll near-instantly regret.
Any awful.systems sub may be subsneered in this subthread, techtakes or no.
If your sneer seems higher quality than you thought, feel free to cut’n’paste it into its own post — there’s no quota for posting and the bar really isn’t that high.
The post Xitter web has spawned soo many “esoteric” right wing freaks, but there’s no appropriate sneer-space for them. I’m talking redscare-ish, reality challenged “culture critics” who write about everything but understand nothing. I’m talking about reply-guys who make the same 6 tweets about the same 3 subjects. They’re inescapable at this point, yet I don’t see them mocked (as much as they should be)
Like, there was one dude a while back who insisted that women couldn’t be surgeons because they didn’t believe in the moon or in stars? I think each and every one of these guys is uniquely fucked up and if I can’t escape them, I would love to sneer at them.
(Credit and/or blame to David Gerard for starting this.)
I’d wager its the likelihood of said prediction being true
That would be quite the slopbro’s take on probability. Time is continuous, and every fool knows the probability of a continuous variable being equal to something is zero. You can give a probability for it being less than some value, or greater, or within some other range… but none of the percentages relate to the dates in any consistent way. For example, it couldn’t be 30% before 2035 because then you couldn’t possibly have 50% before 2029. But if you just treat it as categorical, as probabilities for safety and risk… then it still doesn’t work, because the categories are all mutually exclusive.
if rationalists knew about error bars, they wouldn’t multiply numbers pulled from their asses the entire time, and what else could they do then
candlestick charts X matrix mult
just imagine what cursed nonsense they might go for